Title of Example

  Estimation of emissions from road traffic in Venice Urban Area

Example

   

Introduction

In 2001 the City of Venice, using the technical support of ARPAV (the Environmental Regional Agency), conducted an estimate of the atmospheric emissions from road traffic.

The aim of the study was to identify the most polluted urban roads, so as to implement better atmospheric pollution control policies by means of road traffic measures, as provided for by DM 163/99 (now partially repealed with adoption of the EU Air Quality Directives).

The analysis provided the following evaluation elements, useful for planning actions on traffic and its components:

- definition of higher emission potential vehicle typologies, for each pollutant (see the average emission factors for vehicle category);

- identification of the main vehicle class responsible for overall emissions for each pollutant (see relative forms of the overall polluting emissions -Kgs issued during peak hours-);

- hierarchization of the urban road network according to the emission density class;

- definition of the higher-density roads, in urban and extra-urban road systems (critical roads);

- critical road hierarchization for C6H6 and PM10 emissions, according to a “vulnerability index”, taking into account residential density in the areas adjacent to the road, and therefore the impact on the residential population, and consequent “sensitive areas” identification.

Short description of the estimate methodology

The estimate of atmospheric pollutant emissions caused by road traffic was carried out using the COPERT III methodology (COmputer Programme to calculate Emissions from Road Traffic, version III) proposed and suggested by the European Environment Agency (EEA, 1999).

The methodology was developed from the concept that the vehicle emission factor, or rather the emitted polluting quantity, depends on a number of variables:

- vehicle category (passenger vehicles, commercial light vehicles, commercial heavy-duty vehicles, motorcycles and motor vehicles, buses)

- fuel type (gasoline, diesel oil, LPG);

- registration year (with reference to the European legislation on emissions reduction);

- engine displacement (for cars and two-wheel vehicles) and overall weight (for commercial vehicles);

- average vehicle driving speed (in urban area, in rural areas, along highways or high-speed roads);

- average vehicle speed;

- fuel consumption;

- climatic situation (environmental temperature).

The methodology differentiates the overall emissions caused by road vehicles, taking into account three major final components:

1. combustion emissions, divided into:

- hot emissions caused by vehicles with an average running motor speed (temperature = 90°C ca.);

- cold over-emission caused by vehicles during the vehicle heating stage;

2. evaporative emissions, only for COV, from which those for C6H6 are derived divided into:

- in the daytime, from cold engine vehicles;

- hot soak, from hot vehicles just turned off;

- running losses, from in-gear vehicles;

3. degraded hot emissions, calculated from hot emissions multiplied by a degradation coefficient, determined by vehicle age and average distance covered; this component considers the catalytic converter degradation (therefore the emissions increase due to catalytic vehicle ageing).

Database for the implementation of COPERT III methodology

The original data for the reconstruction of the entire municipal area vehicle traffic have been provided by the outputs of the traffic model used by the City of Venice, Land Development and Mobility Department, Mobility Office.

The City of Venice Mobility Office uses the EMME/2 traffic model (Transport Planning Software: Modelling and Analysis Features, by INRO Consultants Inc., Canada), a multimodal planning transport system that supplies tools for transport demand modelling, for transport offer and their interactions (Origin/Destination matrix model).

Its main characteristic is the capacity to reach an assignation in multimodal balance conditions, that is simulating a real situation taking into account all the existing territorial transport services (public and private network, heavy-duty commercial traffic, etc., up to 30 different transport modalities).

The EMME/2 model uses the Origin/Destination matrix traffic flows (matrix from the 1991 ISTAT General Survey) integrated and supplemented for measureless roads with data surveyed during specific research and the knowledge of experts operating within the Mobility Office.

At the end of COPERT III methodology implementation, we have the following information:

- the road network design (983 roads, totalling about 420 Km) representing the urban and extra-urban network of roads (see map 3);

- “oriented (or “directional”) design” characteristics, that is the oriented roads set (characterized by knot couples with metric coordinates “x,ycalled “initial knot” and “final knot”), representing the two directions or a single one-way direction;

- rush hour traffic flows (7.30-8.30 a.m.) divided into: cars, motorcycles, vans (disaggregated from the “light” class model) and heavy duty (“heavy-duty” model), see map 4 and map 5;

- flows subdivision percentage of the “Heavy” category into: “Heavies” and “Buses”;

- flows attribution percentage of the “Motorcycle” and “Buses” along some traffic flow roads;

- flows attribution percentage of the “Heavies” category along high-density traffic roads;

- flows attribution percentage of the “Buses” category along high-density traffic roads;

- average speed per road, not differentiated for all categories.

The aim of the traffic data analysis has been the creation of a traffic database suitable to the COPERT III methodology implementation for the vehicle traffic emissions in the City of Venice urban area.

Such methodology requires as an input a lot of information, such as the definition of the vehicles mileage concept, defined as the relationship between the number of vehicles along a road and its length.

The vehicular traffic polluting emissions have been calculated as a relationship between the different vehicle mileages and the specific emission factors (g/Km), themselves defined as average vehicle emissions covering one Km.

The results of the traffic data analysis have been the following:

- reference scenario identification: rush hour 7.30-8.30 a.m.;

- subdivision of all links of the road design into the two directions;

- mileage characterization for each vehicle category;

- traffic flux characterization, calculated taking into account the mileages, for each link and vehicle category: motorcycles, cars, light vehicles, heavy-duty vehicles, buses.

During morning rush hour, about 400,000 Km are covered by all vehicles along the design urban and extra-urban network.

Registered car fleet analysis

The registered car fleet is used to assign all vehicles circulating in the urban area to the 105 emission categories defined by the COPERT III methodology.

The registered car fleet data supplied by ACI (Automobile Club Italia) at provincial level (1999) have been considered in relation to the types of vehicles circulating in the urban territory of Venice.

The ACI registered data does not include motorcycles (because they pertain to the Provincial Road Traffic Authority). Hence data has been taken from the ANCMA Data Base (National Cycle Motorcycle Accessories Association).

The entire registered vehicle number in the Venice Province in 1999 is 489,368, with the following subdivisions into vehicle categories:

- mopeds and motorcycles 9%:

- cars 83%;

- commercial light vehicles 5.6%;

- commercial heavy-duty vehicles and trucks 2%;

- buses 0.4%.

In 1999 the overall situation of the Province of Venice car fleet was the following:

- 52% non-catalytic vehicles (conventional);

- 48% catalytic vehicles (non-conventional).

Results of the analysis of the emissions produced by traffic in the Mestre urban area

Firstly the average emission factors have been calculated for the 5 vehicle categories of mopeds and motorcycles, cars, commercial light vehicles, commercial heavy-duty vehicles and trucks and buses.

By average emission factor we mean the polluting amount emitted by a single considered category vehicle covering one Km.

Such average value can be obtained by dividing the overall emission of the vehicle category in question (added on the roads) into the overall transit (added on the roads) of the same category. It therefore represents the emission factor (g/Km) of an “average vehicle” of such a category, along a trail under average speed conditions.

As issuing components, the hot and cold-over emissions and the evaporative running-type emissions have been considered (also the degraded ones).

The emissions were computed for the entire Mestre and Marghera network and were drawn up during the rush hour (corresponding to the period 7:30-8:30), for the first six pollutants: NOX, CO, VOC, C6H6, PM10 and TSP. Data have been expressed in (kg/rush hour).

The emission contribution of the different vehicle categories, in comparison with the rush hour overall emissions, has underlined the emissions of:

- C6H6 is almost exclusively due to cars (77%) and motorcycles (19%);

- CO presents similar characteristics (car 77% and motorcycles 13%);

- NOX are produced by commercial heavy duty vehicles and trucks (51%), cars (32%) and buses (12%);

- VOC are produced by: cars (59%), commercial heavy duty vehicles and trucks (23%) and motorcycles (13%);

- Total Suspended Particle (TSP) and PM10 are due to commercial heavy duty vehicles (68%), commercial light vehicles (12.5%), cars (10%) and buses (9.5%), while motorcycles have no PM10 emissions.

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It is important to remember that the COPERT III estimates only the TSP deriving from diesel vehicles. Given the health importance of PM10, previous research has shown that about 96% of particulate matter produced by vehicular traffic is PM10.

The evaporative emission from cold-engine vehicles has also been calculated for VOC and C6H6 . Such an estimate has been carried out only for a 24h scenario.

The emission pressure evaluation of urban roads in comparison with extra-urban has underlined that:

- for CO, C6H6 and VOC, the weight of the urban factor prevails over extra-urban;

- for NOX, TSP and PM10 the weight of the urban factor prevails less in comparison with the extra-urban one.

Sensitive areas identification

Once identified, the urban links characterized by higher linear emissions (g/km), were compared with the emissions (see map 6, map 7, map 8, map 9, map 10 and map 11) of the geo-referenced population density, expressed in (inh./ha). This operation was synthesized in a “vulnerability index” of population residing in areas characterized by the highest traffic intensity roads, considered as representative of a 50 m range of action from the examined road.

The index is expressed as the relationship between emission density and population density (population residing in the survey sections crossed by the examined road (inh./ha * g/Km). The “sensitive areas thus identified were successively put in a hierarchy taking into account both traffic pollution (approximated to the emission density expressed in g/Km) and the presence of population (approximated to the residence density expressed in in h./ha).

The use of the population density represents a limit to the index calculation: where the density is equal to zero, likewise the vulnerability is equal to zero.

To overcome the lack of homogeneity in some survey sections (very wide and with a low resident population, or on the contrary, a small area and high population concentration) average and maximum residential densities have been considered (between all the interested sections), and therefore the corresponding medium and maximum vulnerability indexes have been derived for the two parameters posing the greatest health risk : C6H6 (see map 12) and PM10 (see map 13).

Full text report 2001: full text report (in Italian language), see Appendix 1 (APPENDIX 1: Emission estimate by vehicle traffic with implementation of the COPERT III methodology in the City of Venice).


Last Updated


 

13th January 2005

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